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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+4.84vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+4.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96+4.79vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67-0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21+0.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.38vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-1.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.28-3.27vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.07-3.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.96-7.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.0Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.2%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Philip Koch | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| David Larson | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Morrison | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Erica Lush | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 31.6% | 16.9% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 12.1% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.