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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+6.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.51vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.21+4.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96+4.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+2.80vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+4.63vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-1.11vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-1.42vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.07-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.26+2.12vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-5.10vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-6.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.96-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.2%1st Place
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7.91Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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5.95Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.58Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 17.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Philip Koch | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 31.8% | 14.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 73.9% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.