Race 7B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Philip Koch 5.1% 5.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.5% 8.6% 11.3% 8.3% 3.4%
John Silvestri 6.1% 8.8% 7.2% 9.4% 7.7% 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.7% 4.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Matthew Mollerus 11.9% 11.5% 11.7% 9.8% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.7% 5.3% 5.4% 3.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
David Larson 16.3% 14.7% 14.1% 10.3% 10.0% 7.5% 8.0% 5.9% 4.6% 3.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Emily Petno 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 6.6% 5.8% 8.2% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 3.9% 0.8%
Ryan Morrison 9.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 8.7% 7.0% 5.8% 6.7% 4.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Conor Lodge 11.8% 9.4% 10.2% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 8.1% 7.1% 5.8% 5.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Margaret Bacon 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 7.4% 5.8% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 6.9% 7.3% 9.3% 7.3% 4.5% 1.2%
Viktor Wettergren 5.4% 5.6% 6.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.2% 6.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.1% 8.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.6% 1.0%
Shannon Killian 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 6.9% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.6% 7.8% 11.1% 7.8% 1.8%
Emmett Weeks 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 8.3% 8.6% 10.4% 8.5% 2.7%
Erica Lush 4.7% 4.2% 6.2% 5.3% 9.0% 5.0% 6.6% 6.6% 9.1% 9.3% 8.2% 10.1% 9.0% 6.0% 0.7%
Mackenzie Needham 5.2% 6.2% 5.2% 5.6% 5.2% 7.8% 6.1% 6.3% 8.2% 8.4% 10.0% 10.1% 8.6% 6.2% 0.9%
Matthew Orgill 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 7.4% 12.0% 31.3% 16.6%
Kimberly Jackman 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 4.3% 12.4% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.