← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.45+6.12vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.49vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.28+4.68vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.84+1.92vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.96+0.65vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.21+2.09vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.96+1.83vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.45-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.08-0.59vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.23-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.07-2.53vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.32-4.11vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.09vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.67-7.58vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-0.26-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.12Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.2%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.92Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.65Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
8.09Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.83Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
-
7.2Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.41Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
-
8.47Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.89Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
6.42Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
13.88University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| David Larson | 17.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erica Lush | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Philip Koch | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Emily Petno | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Orgill | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 32.9% | 18.3% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 14.1% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.