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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+6.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+4.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+3.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.07+3.53vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84-0.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.96-1.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08+0.49vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.96-0.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-2.97vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-4.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-5.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.47Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.46Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Philip Koch | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| David Larson | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| John Silvestri | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Petno | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 31.8% | 16.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 12.7% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.