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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+5.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+5.59vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.51vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.21+3.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+1.04vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+1.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+4.66vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.07+0.52vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-1.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.28vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.96-6.25vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.96-3.89vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.2%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.04Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.25Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Morrison | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| David Larson | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Erica Lush | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 30.5% | 16.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Petno | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Philip Koch | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 12.7% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.