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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+2.43vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+1.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.27vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29-0.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.16-0.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76-0.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.78-1.51vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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3.73Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.73Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.85Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.56University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.55Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 18.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 30.1% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Sommi | 11.5% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 14.9% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 22.9% | 34.0% | 7.1% |
| Minot Frye | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 31.8% | 8.4% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.