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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+1.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29-0.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.78-1.51vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.57Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.61Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
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3.82Connecticut College2.290.2%1st Place
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5.51Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.55University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.56Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 29.0% | 22.7% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 14.9% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 17.0% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 15.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Sommi | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 24.8% | 33.1% | 7.2% |
| Minot Frye | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 22.7% | 32.6% | 7.5% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.