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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+2.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+0.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+0.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+0.10vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29-1.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.76-1.47vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.42Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.85Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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8.54Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Capozzi | 17.0% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 25.4% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 18.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 2.3% |
| Minot Frye | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 33.5% | 6.8% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 31.8% | 9.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 9.6% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.