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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.33vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.80vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+4.19vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.85+3.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.40-0.38vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.46-1.52vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.22vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.23-2.34vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.90-4.25vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.96-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Vermont0.8723.4%1st Place
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4.8Olin College of Engineering0.2211.9%1st Place
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7.19Bates College-0.705.4%1st Place
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7.73Middlebury College-0.854.2%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.367.1%1st Place
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3.67University of New Hampshire0.6820.3%1st Place
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6.62University of New Hampshire-0.405.6%1st Place
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6.48Bentley University-0.466.6%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.954.7%1st Place
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8.89Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.362.4%1st Place
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8.66University of New Hampshire-1.233.0%1st Place
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7.75Williams College-0.904.5%1st Place
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11.84Bates College-2.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 23.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Gehl | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Addison Stead | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.3% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Faivre | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 8.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 6.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.