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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+7.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.54+9.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+2.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.25+4.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.80vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.34+1.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+2.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.52vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71+0.71vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-2.42vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.84-1.76vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.43vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.64-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-3.70vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-7.56vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.95-7.43vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.81-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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5.56Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.38Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Brown | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| John Stokes | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Clancy | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Marco Teixidor | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.