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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+3.16vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04-1.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59-1.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76-0.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.78-1.52vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.1Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.6Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.35Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.58Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.54University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.54Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 17.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 29.2% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 18.8% | 22.6% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 14.3% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 21.8% | 34.6% | 7.0% |
| Minot Frye | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 31.3% | 8.4% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 9.1% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.