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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.23+6.51vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.40+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.23vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.46+1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95+1.81vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-1.77vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.70-1.79vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.23vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.85-3.45vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.90-4.15vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.96-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Vermont0.8722.4%1st Place
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8.51University of New Hampshire-1.233.0%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire-0.406.5%1st Place
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3.77University of New Hampshire0.6819.3%1st Place
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6.58Bentley University-0.466.7%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.954.4%1st Place
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8.89Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.362.7%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.367.1%1st Place
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7.21Bates College-0.704.8%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering0.2214.0%1st Place
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7.55Middlebury College-0.855.2%1st Place
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7.85Williams College-0.903.5%1st Place
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11.93Bates College-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 22.4% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 19.3% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Faivre | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 7.4% |
| Addison Stead | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Colby Green | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gehl | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 2.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.