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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.28vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.68+0.78vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.46+2.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.40+0.52vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.70+0.22vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.04vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.23-1.34vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.85-3.34vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.90-4.36vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.96-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Vermont0.8724.1%1st Place
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4.6Olin College of Engineering0.2213.2%1st Place
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3.78University of New Hampshire0.6819.2%1st Place
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6.5Bentley University-0.466.6%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.367.1%1st Place
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6.52University of New Hampshire-0.406.0%1st Place
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7.22Bates College-0.705.0%1st Place
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9.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.362.3%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.954.7%1st Place
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8.66University of New Hampshire-1.232.5%1st Place
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7.66Middlebury College-0.854.7%1st Place
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7.64Williams College-0.904.3%1st Place
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11.97Bates College-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 24.1% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 19.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Addison Stead | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Colby Green | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 8.1% |
| Daniel Faivre | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 6.8% |
| Joseph Gehl | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.