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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+3.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+1.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+0.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04-1.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59-1.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.76-1.48vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.77Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.94Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.36Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.56Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.51Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.52University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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8.54Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 11.9% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 14.0% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 29.9% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 19.9% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 14.4% | 2.2% |
| Minot Frye | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 33.6% | 6.8% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 31.5% | 9.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 9.6% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.