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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+1.73vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.23+4.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.40+0.66vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.79vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.46-2.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-3.62vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-3.05vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.96-0.01vs Predicted
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13Williams College-0.90-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Vermont0.8723.6%1st Place
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3.73University of New Hampshire0.6820.0%1st Place
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4.73Olin College of Engineering0.2213.0%1st Place
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8.5University of New Hampshire-1.232.8%1st Place
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7.14Bates College-0.705.1%1st Place
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6.66University of New Hampshire-0.406.4%1st Place
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7.59Middlebury College-0.854.5%1st Place
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8.79Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.362.9%1st Place
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6.47Bentley University-0.466.6%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.367.0%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.953.6%1st Place
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11.99Bates College-2.960.3%1st Place
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7.77Williams College-0.904.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 23.6% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 5.3% |
| Colby Green | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Gehl | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 7.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Addison Stead | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Faivre | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 71.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.