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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+3.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+1.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49-1.00vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-0.18vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.38-5.30vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.03Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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5.85University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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4.0Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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2.7Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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8.63Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| John Rolander | 30.3% | 24.4% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 3.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 25.3% | 20.6% | 3.1% |
| Minot Frye | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 39.8% | 8.2% |
| James Beatty | 29.3% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 7.7% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.