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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+1.20vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.05+2.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.37vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.41+0.55vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.55+0.02vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52+1.45vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.68-1.63vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.45-3.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-2.78vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.25-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Vermont1.0539.8%1st Place
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4.73Olin College of Engineering-0.0510.5%1st Place
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4.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0912.3%1st Place
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8.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.1%1st Place
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4.15University of New Hampshire-0.0012.5%1st Place
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5.95University of New Hampshire-0.786.2%1st Place
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7.55University of New Hampshire-1.413.9%1st Place
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8.02Bates College-1.553.0%1st Place
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10.45Bates College-2.521.0%1st Place
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8.37Middlebury College-1.682.4%1st Place
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7.72Williams College-1.453.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.6%1st Place
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9.82Bentley University-2.251.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 39.8% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| James Sullivan | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Gray Dinsel | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 33.2% |
| Robin Potter | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Nick Harrington | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Robert Houde | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% |
| Wesley Pratt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.