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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.36vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.55+4.21vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.45+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.79vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.52+3.39vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.05-3.35vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-1.92vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.68-3.61vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.25-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Vermont1.0539.5%1st Place
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5.88University of New Hampshire-0.786.5%1st Place
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4.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0910.8%1st Place
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8.21Bates College-1.552.6%1st Place
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7.65Williams College-1.454.2%1st Place
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4.21University of New Hampshire-0.0012.8%1st Place
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10.39Bates College-2.520.7%1st Place
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4.65Olin College of Engineering-0.0511.7%1st Place
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8.46Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.1%1st Place
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7.64University of New Hampshire-1.413.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.002.0%1st Place
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8.39Middlebury College-1.682.8%1st Place
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9.84Bentley University-2.251.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 39.5% | 27.4% | 17.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Nick Harrington | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| James Sullivan | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 32.4% |
| Colin Snow | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Robert Houde | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% |
| Robin Potter | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Wesley Pratt | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.