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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+1.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+2.03vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+1.86vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49-1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-0.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.38-5.28vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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4.03Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.44Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.86University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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3.98Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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2.72Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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8.63Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 32.4% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 2.9% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 12.8% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 3.3% |
| Minot Frye | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 40.1% | 8.1% |
| James Beatty | 27.5% | 24.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 7.7% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.