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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+3.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+2.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49-0.44vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+0.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-2.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.330.00vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35-2.03vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.78-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.04Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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4.31Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.64Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.0Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.97University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.62Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Capozzi | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.6% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 31.0% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| James Beatty | 29.9% | 25.3% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 23.9% | 22.4% | 3.4% |
| William Dykes | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 3.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 83.3% |
| Minot Frye | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 39.0% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.