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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+1.22vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.05+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.78+2.89vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.82vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+2.44vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.55+0.94vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68+0.43vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52+1.50vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.45-2.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-1.70vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-2.25-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.41-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Vermont1.0539.3%1st Place
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4.57Olin College of Engineering-0.0511.3%1st Place
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5.89University of New Hampshire-0.786.8%1st Place
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4.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0911.8%1st Place
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4.18University of New Hampshire-0.0012.9%1st Place
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8.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.5%1st Place
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7.94Bates College-1.553.0%1st Place
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8.43Middlebury College-1.682.3%1st Place
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10.5Bates College-2.521.0%1st Place
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7.82Williams College-1.452.6%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.5%1st Place
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9.75Bentley University-2.251.6%1st Place
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7.64University of New Hampshire-1.413.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 39.3% | 28.3% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Robin Potter | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 33.9% |
| Nick Harrington | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Robert Houde | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| Wesley Pratt | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.