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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+1.25vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.05+2.55vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-2.25+6.64vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.77+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.90vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.55+1.95vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.45+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00-3.87vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68-0.73vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.52+0.27vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-2.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-7.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Vermont1.0539.4%1st Place
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4.55Olin College of Engineering-0.0511.2%1st Place
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9.64Bentley University-2.251.2%1st Place
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8.58University of New Hampshire-1.772.5%1st Place
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5.9University of New Hampshire-0.786.2%1st Place
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7.95Bates College-1.552.7%1st Place
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7.66Williams College-1.453.9%1st Place
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4.13University of New Hampshire-0.0013.9%1st Place
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8.27Middlebury College-1.682.9%1st Place
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10.27Bates College-2.521.1%1st Place
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8.33Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.6%1st Place
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4.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0910.8%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 39.4% | 26.7% | 16.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Pratt | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 19.7% |
| Clayton Greig | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Anne Berg | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Nick Harrington | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| James Sullivan | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robin Potter | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 30.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Houde | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.