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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+1.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+2.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49-0.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-2.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-0.19vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59-4.11vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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4.57Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.99University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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3.96Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.67Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.95Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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3.89Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.64Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 30.0% | 27.2% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| William Dykes | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 3.4% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 30.7% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 27.1% | 18.6% | 2.9% |
| Minot Frye | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 41.2% | 7.7% |
| Jacob Martz | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.