Race 1A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wilson Kaznoski 9.2% 8.0% 10.6% 10.2% 12.3% 13.0% 11.9% 10.0% 7.4% 4.0% 2.7% 0.7%
Joshua Bartoszuk 23.4% 22.0% 16.5% 13.8% 11.1% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Grant Adam 16.4% 15.7% 15.2% 13.5% 11.0% 10.5% 7.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 3.9% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 7.8% 9.7% 12.2% 11.8% 12.4% 11.8% 6.2%
Sam Monaghan 15.7% 15.8% 13.2% 14.1% 10.7% 11.0% 8.6% 4.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Joshua Dillon 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 13.4% 13.1% 11.3% 9.7% 6.9% 4.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Gregory Dillon 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 12.3% 11.6% 11.8% 9.0% 4.7%
Nicholas Dreyer 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 11.3% 12.0% 14.8% 15.4% 12.4%
Timothy Burns 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.6% 10.4% 11.8% 12.8% 12.6% 9.7% 5.7%
Ian McCaffrey 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 9.6% 11.8% 19.7% 32.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 12.3% 19.4% 30.9%
Izaiah Farr 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.8% 10.4% 14.0% 14.2% 10.4% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.