Race 1B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kate Shaner 17.7% 14.6% 14.6% 17.0% 11.5% 13.0% 7.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Marcos Darcy 19.6% 21.4% 17.3% 15.1% 11.7% 8.4% 3.8% 2.6% 0.1%
Rebecca Quirke 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 11.8% 12.9% 15.7% 18.2% 11.8% 1.4%
John Wehner 18.5% 17.7% 16.5% 14.6% 12.7% 9.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 12.2% 13.4% 15.2% 10.9% 14.5% 13.3% 12.8% 6.6% 1.1%
David Mende 7.5% 8.1% 8.9% 10.9% 12.6% 16.4% 20.4% 14.1% 1.1%
Sam Gates 12.6% 11.2% 12.4% 14.8% 16.2% 13.3% 12.3% 6.3% 0.9%
Amelia Connell 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 7.2% 8.7% 15.2% 45.2% 9.0%
Kevin Winnie 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 7.3% 85.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.