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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Solomon Tarlin 11.7% 10.9% 13.3% 12.6% 15.7% 14.5% 14.4% 6.4% 0.5%
Rebecca Quirke 6.1% 7.6% 11.8% 12.1% 13.8% 17.1% 15.7% 14.0% 1.8%
David Mende 6.9% 8.1% 8.5% 11.6% 11.8% 15.1% 21.6% 14.3% 2.1%
Sam Gates 12.4% 13.2% 14.2% 14.4% 14.8% 14.0% 10.9% 5.8% 0.3%
John Wehner 19.4% 19.5% 14.9% 12.8% 11.5% 10.8% 7.3% 3.5% 0.3%
Marcos Darcy 23.6% 20.3% 17.2% 15.1% 11.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 16.0% 15.9% 16.2% 15.7% 12.8% 11.3% 8.3% 3.6% 0.2%
Amelia Connell 3.7% 3.8% 3.2% 4.7% 7.1% 9.1% 15.6% 43.7% 9.1%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.7% 7.0% 85.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.