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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.00+3.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+3.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.56+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+0.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.39-1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69-2.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.67-1.29vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.46-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.15Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.58Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.14Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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6.71University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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8.65Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Tarlin | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 1.8% |
| David Mende | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 2.1% |
| Sam Gates | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 19.4% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 23.6% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 16.0% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Amelia Connell | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 43.7% | 9.1% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.