Race 2A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Grant Adam 16.6% 15.4% 14.7% 14.0% 12.6% 9.8% 6.9% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Joshua Bartoszuk 23.2% 21.4% 18.0% 13.3% 9.7% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 4.9% 2.8% 0.7%
Joshua Dillon 14.5% 12.8% 13.2% 14.3% 11.8% 11.9% 8.1% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 13.8% 13.8% 14.1% 13.9% 13.4% 10.2% 8.6% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian McCaffrey 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 8.1% 9.7% 11.2% 20.1% 30.8%
Timothy Burns 4.8% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 7.4% 8.5% 11.5% 10.4% 12.2% 12.3% 10.6% 5.5%
David Perez 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 10.2% 11.6% 15.5% 17.2% 16.5%
Felix Nusbaum 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 7.5% 10.3% 12.4% 18.8% 29.9%
Andy Leshaw 3.6% 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 7.5% 7.8% 10.3% 11.3% 13.0% 13.1% 11.7% 6.2%
Gregory Dillon 4.9% 5.8% 5.7% 7.3% 8.7% 10.0% 11.7% 11.8% 11.7% 11.4% 7.5% 3.6%
Izaiah Farr 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 9.0% 11.5% 11.1% 12.3% 14.1% 9.5% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.