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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+3.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.00+2.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.73+2.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33-0.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.56+0.13vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69-2.88vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.67-0.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.39-4.28vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.46-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.59Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.0Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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5.13Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.12Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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6.73University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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3.72Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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8.67Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 1.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 17.5% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| David Mende | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 2.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 23.9% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 45.3% | 7.8% |
| John Wehner | 17.3% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.