Race 3A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Monaghan 13.0% 13.9% 14.0% 15.0% 12.6% 10.9% 9.3% 5.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Izaiah Farr 4.2% 5.0% 4.8% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 10.9% 12.2% 11.2% 13.7% 10.2% 4.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 25.2% 21.6% 17.2% 11.4% 10.2% 6.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 5.5% 7.1% 11.2% 12.4% 18.1% 30.2%
Grant Adam 17.3% 16.5% 16.1% 13.4% 11.8% 10.0% 6.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 9.2% 10.8% 11.5% 10.9% 11.0% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 7.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.8%
Joshua Dillon 13.2% 12.5% 12.4% 14.5% 12.7% 10.8% 10.0% 7.0% 3.6% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1%
David Perez 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 7.1% 10.0% 11.5% 13.7% 18.8% 17.9%
Timothy Burns 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 13.0% 12.1% 13.6% 10.5% 5.5%
Ian McCaffrey 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 9.6% 12.8% 18.9% 31.3%
Gregory Dillon 4.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.4% 8.9% 11.4% 10.2% 12.3% 12.6% 10.8% 7.6% 4.2%
Andy Leshaw 3.8% 3.8% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 10.3% 11.3% 14.3% 12.4% 12.0% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.