← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Gates 12.4% 11.5% 12.8% 14.4% 14.9% 15.0% 11.5% 7.4% 0.1%
Solomon Tarlin 8.6% 12.4% 12.2% 13.4% 16.1% 15.5% 13.4% 7.8% 0.6%
Rebecca Quirke 8.7% 8.2% 11.2% 11.8% 12.5% 17.4% 16.1% 12.7% 1.4%
Kate Shaner 17.5% 15.4% 19.1% 13.1% 14.4% 8.8% 8.7% 2.9% 0.1%
David Mende 8.0% 9.5% 10.1% 11.9% 10.2% 13.4% 20.1% 14.7% 2.1%
Marcos Darcy 23.9% 20.5% 17.3% 14.9% 10.4% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Amelia Connell 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 5.4% 7.9% 9.0% 15.5% 45.3% 7.8%
John Wehner 17.3% 18.3% 14.1% 14.3% 13.0% 11.6% 8.1% 2.9% 0.4%
Kevin Winnie 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 3.0% 5.2% 87.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.