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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.16+8.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.28+6.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+5.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+4.07vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.75vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.50-0.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.33-0.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54+1.84vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.92-5.09vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.64-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida4.17-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.37-2.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.81-4.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-6.58vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.75Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.48Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.42Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Sterling | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Katrina Williams | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.3% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.