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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Gates 12.6% 12.9% 12.3% 13.8% 14.5% 14.2% 12.6% 6.6% 0.5%
Marcos Darcy 19.6% 22.8% 15.0% 15.9% 12.0% 8.2% 3.8% 2.6% 0.1%
Kate Shaner 16.4% 15.3% 15.3% 14.1% 14.4% 11.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.1%
Rebecca Quirke 8.9% 9.9% 11.4% 12.5% 13.6% 14.8% 16.1% 11.5% 1.3%
Solomon Tarlin 12.9% 13.0% 14.8% 11.9% 13.0% 13.5% 13.0% 7.0% 0.9%
David Mende 8.1% 7.3% 9.2% 12.4% 10.8% 15.3% 21.2% 14.3% 1.4%
John Wehner 17.7% 14.8% 17.3% 14.8% 13.1% 11.5% 7.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Amelia Connell 3.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.0% 7.7% 8.9% 15.0% 44.3% 9.4%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 7.6% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.