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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+3.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+0.84vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+0.86vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00-0.68vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.56-0.79vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39-3.28vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.67-1.27vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.46-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.31Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.86Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.32Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.21Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.72Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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6.73University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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8.66Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Marcos Darcy | 19.6% | 22.8% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 1.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| David Mende | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 1.4% |
| John Wehner | 17.7% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Amelia Connell | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 44.3% | 9.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 7.6% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.