Race 4A

mass-maritime-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Dillon 11.5% 12.2% 14.5% 14.4% 12.0% 10.9% 9.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 3.9% 4.9% 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 8.5% 10.0% 11.9% 13.2% 12.2% 10.9% 7.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 26.0% 20.9% 17.4% 12.6% 9.8% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Grant Adam 16.7% 16.4% 14.7% 14.1% 12.3% 10.5% 7.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Gregory Dillon 4.5% 5.4% 5.2% 6.7% 8.9% 10.5% 10.8% 12.3% 11.8% 10.8% 8.9% 4.1%
Ian McCaffrey 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 13.0% 18.8% 34.7%
Nicholas Dreyer 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 4.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 13.0% 16.2% 16.8% 12.7%
Sam Monaghan 14.6% 14.1% 14.5% 13.8% 12.0% 10.2% 8.9% 5.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Izaiah Farr 3.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 8.3% 7.4% 11.1% 12.0% 13.2% 12.2% 11.3% 6.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 8.8% 10.1% 9.6% 12.1% 12.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9%
Timothy Burns 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.2% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 12.4% 13.0% 11.6% 10.0% 5.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 9.3% 13.2% 18.9% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.