Race 5A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Bartoszuk 23.3% 21.4% 17.1% 12.9% 10.4% 6.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Grant Adam 16.1% 14.5% 15.2% 14.1% 12.3% 10.4% 7.8% 4.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 9.2% 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.6% 11.7% 10.1% 9.8% 8.0% 5.0% 2.9% 0.7%
Ian McCaffrey 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 6.1% 9.6% 12.8% 17.9% 35.0%
Andy Leshaw 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 12.3% 12.0% 13.0% 11.1% 6.0%
Joshua Dillon 13.7% 12.2% 13.3% 12.8% 13.0% 10.5% 9.8% 6.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Izaiah Farr 4.3% 4.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 11.1% 12.7% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 6.8%
Gregory Dillon 5.7% 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 13.0% 12.4% 9.8% 4.5%
Nicholas Dreyer 3.2% 3.0% 4.8% 4.1% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 10.7% 13.3% 14.6% 15.6% 12.1%
Sam Monaghan 14.4% 15.6% 13.0% 13.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.4% 5.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Felix Nusbaum 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 8.5% 15.0% 18.9% 29.3%
Timothy Burns 3.4% 5.8% 5.5% 7.1% 7.1% 9.6% 10.8% 12.8% 11.3% 10.5% 11.0% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.