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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+3.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.56+3.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.35vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+0.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.11+1.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39-3.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00-3.46vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.46-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.45Harvard University1.560.0%1st Place
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3.35Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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4.86Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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2.72Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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7.54University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.82Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.57Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Krevans | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| David Mende | 4.8% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 25.3% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Marcos Darcy | 18.4% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Alp Rodopman | 30.9% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 55.8% | 19.0% |
| John Wehner | 14.1% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 14.4% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.