Race 6A

mass-maritime-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Bartoszuk 21.8% 21.6% 17.3% 13.8% 9.8% 7.8% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Grant Adam 17.4% 16.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.2% 9.4% 6.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Izaiah Farr 4.1% 5.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 11.3% 12.7% 12.9% 11.2% 6.5%
Joshua Dillon 13.7% 12.2% 14.0% 12.0% 13.0% 11.7% 8.2% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 9.3% 10.2% 12.6% 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 5.9%
Wilson Kaznoski 9.3% 10.0% 11.0% 12.1% 12.2% 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 6.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Gregory Dillon 4.8% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 9.8% 9.8% 11.7% 12.5% 13.1% 8.2% 4.5%
Timothy Burns 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.2% 10.0% 6.5%
Nicholas Dreyer 3.2% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 6.2% 6.0% 8.6% 9.3% 13.6% 14.9% 14.3% 12.6%
Ian McCaffrey 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 3.5% 5.9% 5.5% 9.2% 12.3% 19.8% 33.0%
Felix Nusbaum 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 7.8% 9.1% 11.1% 20.0% 30.2%
Sam Monaghan 14.6% 13.9% 13.8% 13.1% 12.3% 10.9% 10.2% 6.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.