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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+2.33vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.73+2.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69-0.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.56+0.16vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39-2.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.11-0.47vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.46-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.07Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.23Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.57Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.53University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.58Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 28.8% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 21.2% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Mende | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| John Wehner | 15.5% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 56.0% | 18.6% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 14.2% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.