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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+3.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56+1.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22-0.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39-2.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.11-0.47vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.46-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.47Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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2.8Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.82Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.55Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.53University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.59Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Marcos Darcy | 17.2% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 29.1% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 8.9% | 1.2% |
| Solomon Krevans | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 56.6% | 19.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 14.8% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.