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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+1.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-0.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73-0.15vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.56-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.11+0.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00-3.45vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.46-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.75Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.85Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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7.54University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.55Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.6Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 28.2% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 15.9% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Krevans | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 16.1% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| David Mende | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 25.5% | 9.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 57.8% | 18.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 14.0% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.