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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+3.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.21vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+0.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.56+0.17vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39-3.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00-3.44vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.11-1.47vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.46-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.47Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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2.79Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.92Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.56Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.53University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.58Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Krevans | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 17.5% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 28.8% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| David Mende | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 10.6% | 1.3% |
| John Wehner | 15.4% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 56.8% | 18.9% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 14.8% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.