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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.55+2.11vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+1.00vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.63+0.06vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56-0.79vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.76-0.56vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Christopher Newport University1.550.2%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.06George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.21Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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4.44William and Mary0.760.1%1st Place
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5.17Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Eckmann | 20.9% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Price | 22.8% | 20.5% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 21.8% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Casey Brown | 20.0% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Hinkley | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 29.7% | 24.3% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 19.9% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.