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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+3.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16-0.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19-1.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.92-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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4.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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2.54Boston College4.920.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 22.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 31.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 12.4% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 15.0% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 33.6% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.