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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.63+2.02vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+1.11vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.76+1.43vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65-0.92vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.21+0.19vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.55-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.11Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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4.43William and Mary0.760.1%1st Place
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3.08Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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5.19Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.17Christopher Newport University1.550.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjaim Helfand | 23.5% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Casey Brown | 19.8% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Hinkley | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 21.9% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Price | 22.0% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 32.3% | 23.2% |
| Annie Eckmann | 20.0% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.