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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.30+1.05vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74+0.63vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.39+1.24vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.09-0.54vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.71+1.26vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.59+0.10vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.47-1.09vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.26-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Grand Valley State University1.3041.0%1st Place
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2.63Michigan State University0.7425.4%1st Place
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4.24Miami University-0.397.9%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University0.0914.1%1st Place
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6.26Michigan Technological University-1.711.8%1st Place
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6.1Western Michigan University-1.592.5%1st Place
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5.91Miami University-1.473.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Michigan University-1.264.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liam Walz | 41.0% | 29.9% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Luke Koerschner | 25.4% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Suzanne Ackley | 7.9% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
Emily Williams | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Avie Krauss | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 31.8% |
Gwenyth Schimmel | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 23.0% | 27.7% |
Patrick Carroll | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
Anastasia Sikkila | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.