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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+1.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.63+1.03vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+0.14vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.55-0.79vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.76-0.56vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.03George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.14Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.21Christopher Newport University1.550.2%1st Place
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4.44William and Mary0.760.1%1st Place
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5.18Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 23.3% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 21.7% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Casey Brown | 20.3% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Annie Eckmann | 20.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Hinkley | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 30.0% | 24.3% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 20.0% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.