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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.03vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.63+1.11vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37+0.50vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56-0.74vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.21+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+0.17vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.19-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.11George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.5William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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3.26Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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5.27Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.67SUNY Maritime College1.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 23.1% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 19.7% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Bill Parker | 16.3% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 2.5% |
| Casey Brown | 20.1% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 35.4% | 24.5% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 63.1% |
| Andrew Hall | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.