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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.30+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74+0.60vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+0.50vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.39+0.18vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.26+0.41vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.73-0.79vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.47-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Grand Valley State University1.3041.6%1st Place
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2.6Michigan State University0.7427.3%1st Place
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3.5Ohio State University0.0912.3%1st Place
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4.18Miami University-0.398.5%1st Place
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5.41Western Michigan University-1.264.0%1st Place
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6.18Michigan Technological University-1.711.8%1st Place
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6.21Western Michigan University-1.731.9%1st Place
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5.89Miami University-1.472.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 41.6% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Koerschner | 27.3% | 25.4% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 12.3% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 13.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 30.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 30.2% |
| Patrick Carroll | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.