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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.63+2.06vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+1.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.19+0.81vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56-0.75vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.21+0.26vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.37-2.47vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.04Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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3.25Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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5.26Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.53William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjaim Helfand | 23.2% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Price | 22.1% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Hall | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
| Casey Brown | 19.0% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 34.4% | 24.9% |
| Bill Parker | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.