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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.30+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74+0.56vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+0.52vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.26+1.30vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.47+0.88vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.73-0.74vs Predicted
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8Miami University-0.39-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Grand Valley State University1.3042.6%1st Place
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2.56Michigan State University0.7426.7%1st Place
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3.52Ohio State University0.0912.0%1st Place
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5.3Western Michigan University-1.264.5%1st Place
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5.88Miami University-1.472.6%1st Place
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6.18Michigan Technological University-1.712.3%1st Place
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6.26Western Michigan University-1.732.2%1st Place
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4.28Miami University-0.397.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 42.6% | 28.5% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 26.7% | 27.2% | 22.9% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 12.0% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 11.9% |
| Patrick Carroll | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 30.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 32.4% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 7.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.