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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.02vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+1.17vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.19+0.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.63-0.84vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37-1.44vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.17Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.8SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.56William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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5.26Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 24.0% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Casey Brown | 19.9% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Hall | 13.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 20.7% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Bill Parker | 14.7% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 33.2% | 25.4% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.