← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary1.37+2.44vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.63+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech1.65+0.09vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.56-0.74vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College1.19-1.18vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University0.21-0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-0.60-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
-
3.08George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
-
3.09Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
-
3.26Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
-
3.82SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
-
5.27Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.05University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Parker | 17.3% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 22.2% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Price | 21.8% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Casey Brown | 20.3% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Hall | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 32.7% | 25.8% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 18.8% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.