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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.05vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.63+1.09vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+0.22vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.37-0.48vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.21+0.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.09George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.22Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.52William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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5.26Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 22.9% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 20.9% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Casey Brown | 19.0% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Bill Parker | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 34.2% | 25.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 5.8% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.