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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.63+2.08vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+1.05vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37+0.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.20vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-1.73vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.05Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.5William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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3.8SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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3.27Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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5.24Princeton University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjaim Helfand | 22.1% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Price | 21.7% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Bill Parker | 16.2% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Hall | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 5.1% |
| Casey Brown | 18.5% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 33.2% | 24.8% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.