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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+1.18vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.63-0.85vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.21+0.28vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.37-2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73SUNY Maritime College1.190.2%1st Place
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3.18Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.1Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.15George Washington University1.630.2%1st Place
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5.28Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.51William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hall | 15.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Casey Brown | 20.2% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Price | 20.0% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 21.2% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Werner | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 34.1% | 25.1% |
| Bill Parker | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.