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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00+1.46vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+1.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48+0.24vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29-3.08vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49-0.45vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.12Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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4.24William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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1.92Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 21.4% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.7% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 7.5% |
| Cody Stansky | 47.0% | 26.7% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 29.9% | 33.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 22.9% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.