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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.89vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.47+0.81vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+1.27vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.56+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00-1.46vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49-0.45vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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2.81George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.27William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.12Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 49.4% | 25.1% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Madison Oleson | 20.4% | 27.8% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 7.4% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 6.4% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.4% | 17.4% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 29.9% | 33.9% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.