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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00+1.45vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+1.13vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.47-1.15vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.48-0.72vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.13Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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2.85George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.28William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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5.56Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 47.0% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 12.6% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 15.9% | 6.4% |
| Madison Oleson | 21.7% | 24.9% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 30.1% | 33.8% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 22.7% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.