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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.61vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+0.68vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.35+2.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.33vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+0.71vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.89+2.42vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.66-2.24vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.98+0.67vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.21+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.01-1.19vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-1.82-0.37vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.60-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.82-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-3.09-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy1.8928.2%1st Place
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2.68George Washington University1.8929.6%1st Place
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5.53Washington College0.356.3%1st Place
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9011.3%1st Place
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5.71Princeton University0.276.0%1st Place
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8.42Drexel University-0.892.1%1st Place
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4.76Villanova University0.669.3%1st Place
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8.67Princeton University-0.981.6%1st Place
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9.11Unknown School-1.211.7%1st Place
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8.81University of Maryland-1.011.5%1st Place
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10.63Monmouth University-1.820.5%1st Place
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10.24St. John's College-1.601.2%1st Place
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10.71University of Delaware-1.820.6%1st Place
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12.79University of Maryland-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 28.2% | 27.2% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 29.6% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Owen Ward | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 11.9% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% |
| Aidan English | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.