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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.61vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+0.62vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.35+2.47vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.66+0.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+0.64vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.21+3.13vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.98+1.70vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.89+0.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-4.58vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.01-1.29vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-1.82-0.26vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.82-1.25vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-1.60-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-3.09-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy1.8929.6%1st Place
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2.62George Washington University1.8930.6%1st Place
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5.47Washington College0.355.7%1st Place
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4.88Villanova University0.667.7%1st Place
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5.64Princeton University0.276.8%1st Place
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9.13Unknown School-1.211.7%1st Place
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8.7Princeton University-0.981.8%1st Place
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8.27Drexel University-0.891.4%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9010.3%1st Place
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8.71University of Maryland-1.011.4%1st Place
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10.74Monmouth University-1.820.9%1st Place
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10.75University of Delaware-1.820.9%1st Place
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10.17St. John's College-1.601.2%1st Place
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12.89University of Maryland-3.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 29.6% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 30.6% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Max Kleha | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 11.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 11.8% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 7.7% |
| Aidan English | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.