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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.48+3.16vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.56+2.11vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.47-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00-0.48vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.49+0.60vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.11Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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2.83George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.6Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.92Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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1.85Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Pinkham | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 6.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 19.4% | 26.2% | 24.3% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.7% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 30.7% | 35.1% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 48.5% |
| Cody Stansky | 49.6% | 27.5% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.