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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.85vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.48+2.22vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29-1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00-0.49vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-0.83vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.22William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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1.88Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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3.51University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.17Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.56Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 21.5% | 26.8% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 7.2% |
| Cody Stansky | 46.5% | 30.8% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 12.3% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 29.1% | 34.8% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 23.6% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.