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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.89+1.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.89-0.36vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.66+0.85vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.35+0.44vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.21+3.03vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.89+1.36vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.27-2.30vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.98-0.36vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.60+0.16vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-1.82-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.91-1.19vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-1.01-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-3.09-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7George Washington University1.8928.9%1st Place
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4.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9010.8%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy1.8928.2%1st Place
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4.85Villanova University0.668.6%1st Place
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5.44Washington College0.357.4%1st Place
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9.03Unknown School-1.211.4%1st Place
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8.36Drexel University-0.892.1%1st Place
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5.7Princeton University0.276.6%1st Place
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8.64Princeton University-0.981.8%1st Place
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10.16St. John's College-1.600.9%1st Place
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10.7Monmouth University-1.820.6%1st Place
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10.81University of Delaware-1.910.6%1st Place
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8.76University of Maryland-1.011.6%1st Place
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12.79University of Maryland-3.090.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 28.9% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 28.2% | 26.2% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 11.2% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 11.9% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Aidan English | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.