← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.47+1.84vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.48+2.22vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute2.29-1.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland1.00-0.48vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.56-0.83vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
-
4.22William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
-
1.89Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
-
3.52University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
-
4.17Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
-
5.92Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
5.45Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 21.6% | 26.3% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 23.5% | 16.8% | 7.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 46.4% | 30.8% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 12.4% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.4% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 7.1% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 21.7% | 50.7% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 31.0% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.