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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.89+1.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.32vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.35+1.52vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+0.66vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.66-1.25vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.98+1.74vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.89+0.47vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.21-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.91+0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.01-2.20vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.82-1.38vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-1.60-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-3.09-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7George Washington University1.8928.0%1st Place
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy1.8930.0%1st Place
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4.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9012.0%1st Place
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5.52Washington College0.356.2%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University0.275.4%1st Place
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4.75Villanova University0.668.9%1st Place
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8.74Princeton University-0.981.5%1st Place
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8.47Drexel University-0.892.1%1st Place
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8.94Unknown School-1.212.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Delaware-1.910.8%1st Place
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8.8University of Maryland-1.011.7%1st Place
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10.62Monmouth University-1.820.5%1st Place
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10.2St. John's College-1.600.8%1st Place
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12.84University of Maryland-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 28.0% | 25.1% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 30.0% | 27.1% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Clare Leeper | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Evan Walter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 14.2% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 11.3% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 7.0% |
| Aidan English | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.