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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.35+4.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.22vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.89+4.35vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93-0.97vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.66-1.38vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27-1.59vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.21+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.01-0.12vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.98-1.18vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-1.82-0.12vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.60-1.74vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.82-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-2.31-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Washington College0.357.6%1st Place
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2.43U. S. Naval Academy1.8935.6%1st Place
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4.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9012.8%1st Place
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8.35Drexel University-0.892.1%1st Place
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4.03George Washington University0.9314.1%1st Place
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4.62Villanova University0.669.9%1st Place
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5.41Princeton University0.278.6%1st Place
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9.1Unknown School-1.211.7%1st Place
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8.88University of Maryland-1.011.9%1st Place
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8.82Princeton University-0.981.7%1st Place
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10.88Monmouth University-1.820.9%1st Place
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10.26St. John's College-1.601.4%1st Place
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10.83University of Delaware-1.820.9%1st Place
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11.8University of Maryland-2.310.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Ward | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 35.6% | 26.4% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| Veronica Van Rossen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.