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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.82vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland1.00+0.50vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48+0.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-0.85vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81-0.05vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.9Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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3.5University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.26William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.95Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.43Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 22.7% | 25.4% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Cody Stansky | 46.6% | 30.0% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.8% | 16.4% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 6.6% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 6.6% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 7.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 22.6% | 50.8% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 30.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.