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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.14vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.66+1.71vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+0.08vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.21+4.19vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.35-0.65vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27-1.44vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.89+0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.82+1.74vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.60+0.35vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.98-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.01-3.15vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.82-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-2.31-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41U. S. Naval Academy1.8937.6%1st Place
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4.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9013.5%1st Place
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4.71Villanova University0.669.7%1st Place
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4.08George Washington University0.9312.9%1st Place
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9.19Unknown School-1.211.4%1st Place
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5.35Washington College0.358.6%1st Place
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5.56Princeton University0.277.0%1st Place
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8.35Drexel University-0.892.5%1st Place
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10.74University of Delaware-1.820.7%1st Place
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10.35St. John's College-1.601.1%1st Place
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8.7Princeton University-0.982.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Maryland-1.011.8%1st Place
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10.71Monmouth University-1.820.7%1st Place
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11.86University of Maryland-2.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 37.6% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 12.9% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Camden Ward | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| Quinn Gabel | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 15.8% |
| Veronica Van Rossen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.