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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.56+3.06vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.09vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00-0.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.47-2.11vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81-0.06vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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1.91Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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2.89George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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5.94Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.42Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bluefeld | 8.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% |
| Cody Stansky | 47.7% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 7.8% |
| Joseph Crouse | 12.0% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Madison Oleson | 18.9% | 26.4% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 24.5% | 49.9% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 30.3% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.