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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.40vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.21vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.66+1.63vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.35+1.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93-0.93vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.27-0.45vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.21+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.01+0.76vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-1.82+1.86vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.98-1.33vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.60-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.91-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-2.31-1.25vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.89-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4U. S. Naval Academy1.8935.0%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9013.0%1st Place
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4.63Villanova University0.6610.7%1st Place
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5.3Washington College0.357.6%1st Place
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4.07George Washington University0.9314.0%1st Place
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5.55Princeton University0.277.5%1st Place
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9.13Unknown School-1.211.8%1st Place
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8.76University of Maryland-1.012.6%1st Place
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10.86Monmouth University-1.820.9%1st Place
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8.67Princeton University-0.982.2%1st Place
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10.35St. John's College-1.600.9%1st Place
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10.95University of Delaware-1.910.5%1st Place
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11.75University of Maryland-2.310.7%1st Place
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8.38Drexel University-0.892.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper Walshe | 35.0% | 27.0% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Max Kleha | 13.0% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Owen Ward | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Camden Ward | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Avery Canavan | 14.0% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jasper Waldman | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Clare Leeper | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
Eric Garvey | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
Daniel Dickson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
Quinn Gabel | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 12.1% |
Evan Walter | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 20.1% |
Veronica Van Rossen | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 35.0% |
Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.