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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.82vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00-0.48vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-0.85vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.9Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.92Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.43Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 22.3% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 45.9% | 30.5% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 8.0% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.8% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 6.5% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 7.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 23.9% | 49.5% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 30.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.