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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.84vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+1.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00-1.45vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81-0.06vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.9Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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4.12Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.94Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 22.5% | 25.1% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 46.4% | 29.4% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 7.6% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.0% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 50.5% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 29.3% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.