← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.43vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.27+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University0.66+1.72vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.20vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.35+0.40vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.93-1.94vs Predicted
-
7Unknown School-1.21+1.99vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-0.89+0.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-1.91+1.95vs Predicted
-
10St. John's College-1.60+0.36vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-1.01-2.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Maryland-2.31-0.26vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University-1.82-2.26vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.98-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.43U. S. Naval Academy1.8934.6%1st Place
-
5.6Princeton University0.277.3%1st Place
-
4.72Villanova University0.6611.7%1st Place
-
4.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9012.7%1st Place
-
5.4Washington College0.358.1%1st Place
-
4.06George Washington University0.9314.1%1st Place
-
8.99Unknown School-1.212.2%1st Place
-
8.41Drexel University-0.892.5%1st Place
-
10.95University of Delaware-1.910.9%1st Place
-
10.36St. John's College-1.600.7%1st Place
-
8.72University of Maryland-1.012.1%1st Place
-
11.74University of Maryland-2.310.6%1st Place
-
10.74Monmouth University-1.820.8%1st Place
-
8.67Princeton University-0.981.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 34.6% | 26.8% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 14.1% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Evan Walter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Veronica Van Rossen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 36.8% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.