← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.29+0.88vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.47+0.80vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.56+1.16vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.48+0.26vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland1.00-1.47vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.81-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.49-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
-
2.8George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
-
4.16Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
-
4.26William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.53University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
-
5.95Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
5.42Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 49.8% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Madison Oleson | 20.6% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 6.8% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 7.6% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.1% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 50.4% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 29.1% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.