Race 9A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Avery Canavan 13.2% 14.9% 15.7% 15.0% 14.6% 9.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 8.3% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 12.6% 12.8% 13.8% 9.3% 7.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Owen Ward 10.2% 12.0% 13.3% 14.1% 14.3% 13.5% 9.8% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Cooper Walshe 36.4% 25.7% 17.4% 10.2% 5.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kleha 12.4% 15.7% 15.8% 15.4% 13.1% 11.8% 7.8% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Camden Ward 7.7% 8.6% 10.9% 13.0% 11.9% 13.2% 13.1% 9.7% 6.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Clare Leeper 2.0% 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.7% 7.8% 11.3% 12.8% 14.3% 13.5% 12.8% 7.5%
Paula Cabot Jaume 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.9% 8.6% 12.8% 13.6% 13.1% 11.8% 8.4% 3.6%
Quinn Gabel 2.0% 1.7% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 7.6% 11.6% 13.7% 15.2% 13.0% 11.1% 6.5%
Tamryn Whyte 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 11.3% 14.0% 19.1% 27.9%
Eric Garvey 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% 6.6% 8.1% 10.2% 12.7% 14.0% 13.9% 11.0% 6.9%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.8% 9.1% 10.2% 13.7% 18.7% 27.7%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 9.2% 11.4% 15.5% 17.6% 19.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.