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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.47+1.83vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland1.00+0.49vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48+0.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56-0.85vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83George Washington University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.9Webb Institute2.290.5%1st Place
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3.49University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.26William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.56Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Oleson | 22.8% | 25.0% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Cody Stansky | 46.7% | 30.1% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.9% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 19.9% | 6.6% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 6.8% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 29.5% | 33.9% |
| Bennett Brainard | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 23.1% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.